Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.194518 11.649224 13.247275 15.134596 17.304733 19.724382 22.630307
2025-11-23 8.015093 9.862727 12.053279 14.847639 18.326083 22.524707 27.994251
2025-11-30 7.127212 9.245421 11.897426 15.473266 20.187412 26.215535 34.550106
2025-12-07 6.354121 8.605247 11.552091 15.710657 21.458875 29.169279 40.371905
2025-12-14 5.670191 7.968680 11.095261 15.684789 22.294909 31.538564 45.564725
2025-12-21 5.084400 7.384178 10.621106 15.542629 22.896548 33.572258 50.417893
2025-12-28 4.795220 7.180602 10.646562 16.092517 24.515845 37.182038 57.921032
2026-01-04 4.503932 6.936746 10.576647 16.472184 25.886866 40.513729 65.301579
2026-01-11 4.287802 6.780739 10.614798 17.005313 27.523585 44.379203 73.895155
2026-01-18 3.892227 6.303179 10.104259 16.605764 27.603313 45.729050 78.428778
2026-01-25 3.571696 5.915873 9.699704 16.332901 27.849539 47.347217 83.540475
2026-02-01 3.293290 5.572556 9.334778 16.086356 28.103624 48.977596 88.800248
2026-02-08 3.040794 5.255363 8.992712 15.857550 28.382665 50.702857 94.465903
2026-02-15 2.799575 4.937203 8.621916 15.542578 28.473047 52.089703 99.632359
2026-02-22 2.735479 4.925529 8.783884 16.199371 30.399071 57.004112 112.051421
2026-03-01 2.614765 4.800476 8.730534 16.448403 31.571939 60.595989 122.220824
2026-03-08 2.465804 4.610581 8.541944 16.421265 32.202040 63.184586 130.604625
2026-03-15 2.313836 4.402622 8.302349 16.272123 32.571690 65.279866 138.158799
2026-03-22 2.264184 4.386754 8.425765 16.849034 34.455393 70.599995 153.151111
2026-03-29 2.195679 4.328139 8.460548 17.247385 36.001535 75.354870 167.400436
2026-04-05 2.148778 4.308560 8.569949 17.806782 37.934372 81.098912 184.481960
2026-04-12 2.001642 4.074163 8.228661 17.387543 37.713827 82.151247 190.843134
2026-04-19 1.879344 3.882117 7.959943 17.101245 37.758740 83.788536 198.746401